Bayesian quant terminal for Polymarket, a holders-based engine. Track elite Polymarket traders. Get real-time whale alerts. Browse Bayesian-ranked leaderboards.
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The subject of this summary is an analytics product designed for a major prediction market referred to as "the platform." The product identifies top traders and scores them using a sophisticated Bayesian statistical model, subsequently sending real-time whale alerts via a messaging application. Alerts are automatically managed, and premium ones are offered through a subscription model.
Buyers of this product receive comprehensive resources including full source code, an MIT license, and three organized workspaces such as a Python engine that scans the platform and computes skill scores, a frontend and API built with advanced web technologies, and related cloud and database services. Detailed documentation and test suites for system operation and maintenance are also provided.
The product addresses a gap in the platform's ability to differentiate skilled traders from those experiencing mere luck. It tracks high-volume event holders across multiple market categories, applying a Bayesian model to score each wallet. Time-decayed scoring ensures that recent account activities influence current performance metrics.
Users can access features such as a leaderboard of top-ranked wallets, individual wallet pages with performance metrics, and live alerts for significant trades. Alerts are delivered through a messaging app, offering both free and premium options.
The unique scoring model, incorporating a Beta-Bernoulli approach with time decay and empirical considerations, is central to the product's appeal. The technology stack includes modern frontend frameworks, a robust database setup, object storage, and tools for event classification and alerting, all maintained at low operational costs.